Reducing Violent Deaths

    Intentional homicide kills several hundred thousand people a year, more than armed conflict and terrorism combined, and although the global rate has fallen since 2015, it is not falling fast enough to meet the goal of significantly reducing violent deaths by 2030.

    Updated 9 min read6 sources

    Written from the sources listed below, not independently peer-reviewed.

    Take a guess first

    Latin America and the Caribbean and sub-Saharan Africa together are home to less than a quarter of the world's population. Roughly what share of the world's homicide victims did they account for in 2024?

    5.1 per 100,000

    Global homicide rate

    Victims of intentional homicide per 100,000 people worldwide in 2024, down 14% from 5.9 in 2015. A modelled global estimate based on national data.

    Data year 2024. Source: United Nations Statistics Division, 2026

    458,000

    Homicide victims in one year

    UNODC's latest published global count, for 2021, an exceptionally deadly year: about 52 victims every hour, more than were killed in armed conflict and terrorism combined.

    Data year 2021. Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, 2023

    47%

    Homicides committed with firearms

    Share of homicides with a known mechanism worldwide that involved a firearm in 2021, the most common means. In the Americas the share was 75%.

    Data year 2021. Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, 2023

    The numbers

    Global intentional homicide rate

    Unit: victims per 100,000 people

    024685.920155.120244.52030*

    * Projection, not a measurement. UN estimates for 2015 and 2024 and a projection for 2030 (if current trends continue), from the UN's SDG Extended Report 2026. The 2030 value is a projection, not a measurement. The report gives no yearly values in between; it notes the rate had been stable at around 6 for a decade before 2015.

    Falling, but too slowly for SDG target 16.1

    SDG target 16.1 calls for significantly reducing all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere by 2030, which the UN interprets as requiring at least a 50% cut in the global homicide rate. The rate fell by 14% between 2015 and 2024. If this trend continues it could reach 4.5 per 100,000 by 2030, a decline of about 25%, well short of the target.

    Who is affected most

    • Latin America and the Caribbean and sub-Saharan Africa hold under a quarter of the world's population but accounted for almost two-thirds of homicide victims in 2024. Rates elsewhere ranged from about 0.9 per 100,000 in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia to 4.9 in Northern Africa and Western Asia.

      Source: United Nations Statistics Division, 2026
    • Around 193,000 young people aged 15–29 are killed in homicides each year, about 40% of the global total, and most victims are male. Homicide is among the leading causes of death in this age group.

      Source: World Health Organization, 2026
    • Men were 80% of homicide victims in 2024, but women face a different risk: almost 60% of women killed that year were killed by a partner or family member, compared with 11% of men. The share was highest in Africa.

      Source: United Nations Statistics Division, 2026
    • About 22% of homicides with known context worldwide are linked to organized crime or gangs, rising to around half in the Americas, where firearms are used in an estimated 75% of killings.

      Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, 2023

    Where it hits hardest

    Each country is shaded by its latest available value, so you can see where the gap is widest. Hover or tap a country, search for one, or open the full table.

    Victims of intentional homicide per 100,000 people

    Loading country values…

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    Values in per 100,000 people.

    Each country's latest available year from 2015 onwards (most are 2021–2023; years differ), based on national data compiled by UNODC. Countries without data since 2015 are left blank. Rates in places with very small populations can change sharply from one year to the next because a few cases make a large difference, and recording practices differ between countries.

    Source: UNODC, via World Bank Open Data. Latest year available per country; years differ.

    Values load from World Bank Open Data. Simplified Natural Earth borders; they imply no position on disputed territories.

    Are we making progress?

    Instead of one “percent solved” score, DO GOOD rates three separate dimensions. A problem can have mature solutions that still reach too few people. These ratings are an editorial reading of the sources on this page, not a measured index.

    Outcome progress

    Has the situation improved in the real world?

    Moderate

    The global homicide rate fell from 5.9 to 5.1 per 100,000 between 2015 and 2024, after a decade of little change. But hundreds of thousands of people are still killed each year, and rates in Latin America and the Caribbean remain several times the global average.

    Solution maturity

    How mature and validated are the available solutions?

    Moderate

    Several approaches have repeated evaluations showing fewer killings, including focused deterrence and some urban upgrading projects. Most evidence comes from quasi-experimental studies in a small number of countries, mainly the United States, and the effects tend to be smaller in the most rigorous studies.

    Implementation reach

    How widely are effective solutions actually used?

    Low

    Evaluated programmes run in specific cities rather than as national policy in most countries, and WHO's recommended measures, such as firearm licensing, alcohol controls and urban upgrading, are applied unevenly. Programmes that depend on short-term funding can lose their effect when funding or staff are cut.

    Confidence in the data

    Moderate

    UNODC publishes harmonised national data and its methods, but data remain limited, especially in Africa and Asia, so global and African figures rely on statistical estimates, and UNODC's latest full global count dates from 2021.

    Current trajectory

    Improving

    The global rate has been declining since 2015 and is projected to reach about 4.5 per 100,000 by 2030. That is a real improvement, but only about half the reduction the SDG target requires.

    Why this matters

    Intentional homicide, the unlawful killing of a person with intent to cause death or serious injury, is one of the largest causes of violent death worldwide. UNODC's most recent global count found about 458,000 victims in 2021, an average of 52 every hour, and an annual average of around 440,000 over 2019–2021, roughly five times as many deaths as armed conflict in the same period. The global rate has been falling slowly: from 5.9 victims per 100,000 people in 2015 to 5.1 in 2024. Firearms are the most common means, used in 47% of homicides where the mechanism was known in 2021 and in 75% in the Americas, and around 22% of homicides with known context are linked to organized crime or gangs, rising to half in the Americas.

    The burden is highly unequal. Latin America and the Caribbean recorded 19.3 homicides per 100,000 people in 2024 and sub-Saharan Africa an estimated 11.7, compared with 0.9 in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia. Most victims (80% in 2024) and most perpetrators are men, especially young men: WHO estimates that around 193,000 young people aged 15–29 are killed each year, 40% of the global total. Women and girls are far more often killed at home: almost 60% of women killed in 2024 died at the hands of a partner or family member. Rates are not fixed: they have risen and fallen over time with social conditions and with policy.

    How homicide is defined and counted

    Homicide statistics come from national records compiled and harmonised by the UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC). Comparing countries requires a common definition and care with gaps:

    • Intentional homicide

      An unlawful death inflicted on a person with the intent to cause death or serious injury. Civilian deaths in armed conflict are not included; the UN counts them separately under indicator 16.1.2.

    • SDG indicator 16.1.1

      The number of victims of intentional homicide per 100,000 people, broken down by sex and age. It is the official measure for SDG target 16.1, which aims to significantly reduce all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere.

    • Context and mechanism

      Where countries record it, UNODC classifies killings by situational context (such as organized crime, intimate partner or family, or other interpersonal conflict) and by mechanism (such as firearms or sharp objects). Shares are calculated only for cases where this information is known.

    • Regional and global estimates

      Many countries, especially in Africa and Asia, lack recent or complete data. UNODC fills these gaps with statistical estimates to produce regional and global figures, so these totals carry uncertainty, particularly for Africa.

    What already works, and its limits

    Focused deterrence

    What works

    Police, prosecutors, social services and community members jointly identify the small groups or individuals most involved in serious violence, tell them directly that violence will bring swift consequences, and offer support such as jobs and services. A Campbell systematic review of 24 evaluations found an overall moderate reduction in crime, with the largest effects for strategies aimed at gangs and groups; the first Boston programme was followed by a 63% fall in youth homicides.

    Limits

    None of the 24 evaluations was a randomized trial, and effects were smaller in the more rigorous studies. The evidence comes mostly from US cities, and the approach depends on sustained cooperation between agencies and communities.

    Violence interruption and street outreach

    What works

    Trusted community members act as violence interrupters and outreach workers: they mediate disputes before they turn lethal, build long-term relationships with people at highest risk and work to change local norms around violence. A 2025 systematic review of 13 studies covering 27 sites in the United States, Colombia and Trinidad and Tobago found that 57 of 83 findings showed fewer shootings or killings, and 27 were statistically significant.

    Limits

    Results vary by city and by how well the model is implemented; some sites saw no effect or increases, which the review links to funding constraints and weak local infrastructure. The review's authors work for the organisation that developed the model.

    Upgrading urban neighbourhoods

    What works

    WHO lists reducing concentrated poverty and upgrading urban environments among evidence-based ways to prevent youth violence. In Medellín, Colombia, neighbourhoods that received a cable-car transit link with new lighting, public spaces and services saw a decline in homicides 66% greater than similar neighbourhoods between 2003 and 2008.

    Limits

    Such studies are natural experiments: they cannot rule out other causes, and they do not show which part of a large public works package made the difference. Infrastructure is costly and takes years to build.

    Restricting access to firearms and alcohol

    What works

    WHO recommends restrictive firearm licensing and reducing access to alcohol as part of violence prevention, and UNODC names alcohol restriction and strict gun laws among system-wide measures. Firearms are the most common means of homicide, so limiting their availability targets a direct cause of lethality.

    Limits

    Rules, enforcement and political support vary widely between countries, and licensing addresses legal ownership, not firearms already circulating outside it.

    Early prevention for children and young people

    What works

    WHO lists parenting support, preschool programmes, whole-school approaches, life-skills and social development programmes, and therapeutic approaches for young people at high risk as effective ways to prevent youth violence before it starts.

    Limits

    Effects on homicide appear only years later and are hard to measure directly, so these programmes compete poorly for budgets against responses with visible short-term results.

    Innovations to watch

    Promising, but not proven at scale. The stage shows how far each approach has come; it is not a recommendation.

    Early deployment

    Adapting violence interruption beyond the United States

    Community violence interruption, developed in US cities, has been evaluated with comparison areas in Cali and Port of Spain, and further sites without comparison areas exist elsewhere. Whether results hold in places with strong organized crime or weaker public services is still being tested.

    Early deployment

    Better homicide data where records are thin

    UNODC combines national data with statistical models to estimate homicide where records are missing, and the SDG framework now reports victims by sex and by relationship to the perpetrator. Data remain especially limited in Africa and Asia, so these estimates still carry wide uncertainty.

    Basic research

    Projecting future violence from social and climate trends

    UNODC's 2023 study modelled future homicide under different scenarios and identified Africa as the region most at risk in coming decades, because of a growing young population, slower progress on inequality and climate shocks. Such projections are exploratory and depend heavily on their assumptions.

    What is holding progress back

    Knowledge gap:
    Cause or mechanism not understood. Needs basic research.
    Implementation gap:
    Solutions work but reach too few people. Needs infrastructure, funding and organisation.
    Coordination gap:
    Actors are not aligned. Needs standards, partnerships and better incentives.
    • Knowledge gap

      Gaps in national homicide data

      Data remain limited, especially in Africa and Asia, and trends for Africa are the most uncertain because few countries have long time series. Without reliable local data, it is hard to target prevention or judge whether it works.

    • Knowledge gap

      A thin evidence base outside a few countries

      The 24 focused deterrence evaluations in the Campbell review included no randomized trials, and effects shrank in more rigorous designs. Most evaluated programmes come from US cities, while the highest rates are in Latin America, the Caribbean and sub-Saharan Africa.

    • Implementation gap

      Programmes that are hard to run well

      Community programmes depend on trained staff, trust and stable funding. In the Cure Violence review, results were weakest where programmes faced funding constraints, shared offices and staff, and limited community infrastructure.

    • Coordination gap

      Firearms and organized crime

      Firearms are used in about three-quarters of homicides in the Americas, and organized crime or gangs account for about half of homicides there. Addressing these drivers requires action on illicit firearms and criminal markets that local prevention programmes cannot achieve alone.

    • Coordination gap

      Prevention split across many agencies

      Effective approaches draw on policing, health, schools, social services, alcohol and firearm regulation and urban planning at the same time. These sit with different ministries and city departments, and few countries have one body responsible for reducing violent deaths.

    • Implementation gap

      Too little attention to killings at home

      Almost 60% of women killed in 2024 were killed by a partner or family member. Prevention aimed at street and gang violence does not reach these deaths, which require early risk assessment and protection for people experiencing domestic violence.

    Questions nobody has answered yet

    Unresolved questions, not vetted breakthroughs. Answering any of them would change what is possible.

    Why has the global rate fallen since 2015?

    Which changes in policy, demography, policing, health care or the economy explain the decline, and why did it not occur, or reverse, in some places?

    What works where violence is driven by organized crime?

    Can focused deterrence, violence interruption and urban upgrading reduce killings where criminal groups control territory and markets, without displacing violence or increasing other harms?

    How do programmes transfer between countries?

    Most evaluations come from a handful of cities. Which elements of a programme must stay fixed and which must be adapted when it moves to cities in Latin America, the Caribbean or Africa with different institutions and resources?

    How can homicide be measured where records are missing?

    How can death registration, health records, surveys and police data be combined to produce reliable local figures in countries with incomplete statistics, and how much uncertainty is acceptable for policy?

    What you can do

    • Support local violence prevention that is evaluated

      If you give time or money, look for community organisations working on youth mentoring, mediation or violence interruption that publish what they do and how they measure results, and favour multi-year commitments over one-off gifts.

    • Ask your city what it does to prevent violence

      Find out whether your local government has a violence prevention plan that brings together police, health, schools and urban planning, and whether it uses approaches with published evaluations.

    • Store firearms safely

      If there are firearms in your household, keep them locked and unloaded and stored separately from ammunition, in line with your country's rules. Limiting access reduces the chance that a conflict or crisis ends in a death.

    • Talk about violence without stigma

      When discussing violent crime, avoid labelling whole neighbourhoods or groups as dangerous. Rates change with conditions and policy, and stigma can make it harder for residents to find work, services and investment.

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    Sources

    1. [1]The Sustainable Development Goals Extended Report 2026: Goal 16

      United Nations Statistics Division (data from UNODC), published 2026

      Official UN progress report on SDG 16, indicator 16.1.1: global homicide rate of 5.1 per 100,000 in 2024 versus 5.9 in 2015, projection of 4.5 by 2030, regional rates, the two-thirds concentration in two regions, victims by sex and intimate partner or family homicide.

    2. [2]Global Study on Homicide 2023

      United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), published 2023

      Full text of UNODC's most recent global homicide study (December 2023, latest edition as of October 2026; copy of the official PDF hosted by InSight Crime): 458,000 victims in 2021, 52 per hour, 440,000 average for 2019–2021, comparison with conflict deaths, firearm shares, organized crime shares, data gaps and projections.

    3. [3]Youth violence (fact sheet)

      World Health Organization, published 2026

      WHO fact sheet updated 8 May 2026: about 193,000 homicides among people aged 15–29 each year (40% of the total) and the evidence-based prevention measures WHO recommends.

    4. [4]Focused deterrence strategies effects on crime: A systematic review

      Campbell Systematic Reviews (Braga, Weisburd and Turchan), published 2019

      Campbell Collaboration systematic review and meta-analysis of 24 quasi-experimental evaluations of focused deterrence, with effects by strategy type and study quality.

    5. [5]A Systematic Review on the Effectiveness of the Cure Violence Approach

      INQUIRY: The Journal of Health Care Organization, Provision, and Financing (Ransford, Williams and Slutkin), published 2025

      PRISMA systematic review of 13 studies covering 27 violence interruption sites in the United States, Colombia and Trinidad and Tobago; authors are affiliated with Cure Violence Global.

    6. [6]Reducing Violence by Transforming Neighborhoods: A Natural Experiment in Medellín, Colombia

      American Journal of Epidemiology (Cerdá et al.), published 2012

      Natural experiment comparing 25 neighbourhoods that received transit and urban upgrades with 23 comparison neighbourhoods between 2003 and 2008 (DOI 10.1093/aje/kwr428).

    Cite this page

    DO GOOD International (2026). Reducing Violent Deaths. Global Challenges. Updated October 15, 2026. https://www.dogood.world/challenges/homicide

    For figures, please cite the original sources listed above.

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