An estimated 4.9 million children died before the age of five in 2024, about 2.3 million of them in their first four weeks of life. The main causes are complications of preterm birth, complications during labour and delivery, pneumonia, diarrhoea and malaria, all of which can largely be prevented or treated with known, low-cost care. Since 2000, about 174 million children have died before their fifth birthday. The death rate has fallen by about 60% since 1990, but the number of deaths has stayed at roughly 4.8 to 4.9 million a year since 2022.
The risk depends heavily on where a child is born. Sub-Saharan Africa accounts for 58% of under-five deaths, and children in fragile and conflict-affected countries are nearly three times as likely to die as children elsewhere. Within countries, children in the poorest households, in rural areas and those whose mothers had little schooling face higher risks. If current trends continue, about 27 million more children will die before age five between 2025 and 2030, and UN agencies warn that reductions in development assistance threaten to slow progress further.
How child deaths are measured
Most estimates come from the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME), led by UNICEF and WHO. Because many countries do not register every birth and death, it combines several data sources with statistical models. The main measures are:
Under-five mortality rate
The probability that a newborn dies before reaching exactly five years of age, expressed per 1,000 live births. It is the headline indicator for child survival and for SDG target 3.2.
Neonatal mortality rate
The probability of dying in the first 28 days of life, per 1,000 live births. It isolates the newborn period, where nearly half of all under-five deaths now occur.
Number of deaths
The estimated count of children who die before age five in a year. It depends on both the death rate and the number of births, so it can stay flat even while the rate falls.
Modelled estimates
UN IGME combines civil registration, household surveys and censuses into country estimates with uncertainty ranges. Each round revises the whole series, so figures from different reports should not be compared directly.