Every Child Survives Their Fifth Birthday

    The world has cut the child death rate by about 60% since 1990, but 4.9 million children still die before their fifth birthday each year, mostly from preventable or treatable causes, and progress has slowed sharply since 2015.

    Updated October 13, 2026. Written from the sources listed below, not independently peer-reviewed.

    Take a guess first

    Out of every 100 children who die before their fifth birthday, how many die in their first 28 days of life?

    4.9 million

    Children who died before age five

    Including 2.3 million newborns in their first 28 days. Down from 10.1 million in 2000 and 13.0 million in 1990.

    Data year 2024. Source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, 2026

    37.4 per 1,000

    Under-five mortality rate

    Deaths per 1,000 live births, down from 93.5 in 1990. The SDG target is 25 or lower in every country by 2030.

    Data year 2024. Source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, 2026

    1.5%

    Annual rate of decline, 2015–2024

    Average yearly fall in the under-five mortality rate, compared with 3.9% a year in 2000–2015.

    Data year 2024. Source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, 2026

    The numbers

    Children who died before age five, worldwide

    Unit: million deaths

    05101513199010.120007.120106.120154.92024

    Modelled UN IGME estimates for the years shown in the report's tables, rounded to one decimal. Each UN IGME round revises the full series, so these values should not be mixed with figures from earlier reports.

    Many countries are off track for the 2030 targets

    SDG target 3.2 asks every country to cut under-five mortality to 25 or fewer deaths per 1,000 live births, and newborn mortality to 12 or fewer, by 2030. In 2024 the global rates were 37.4 and 17.2. On current trends, 60 countries are at risk of missing the under-five target and 66 the newborn target. Meeting the targets would let an estimated 8 million more children survive to age five between 2025 and 2030.

    Who is affected most

    Are we making progress?

    Instead of one “percent solved” score, DO GOOD rates three separate dimensions. A problem can have mature solutions that still reach too few people. These ratings are an editorial reading of the sources on this page, not a measured index.

    Outcome progress

    Has the situation improved in the real world?

    Moderate

    Annual under-five deaths fell from 13.0 million in 1990 to 4.9 million in 2024, one of the largest gains in global health. But 4.9 million children still die each year, and the newborn period now accounts for 47% of these deaths.

    Solution maturity

    How mature and validated are the available solutions?

    High

    Most deaths are caused by conditions that known, low-cost measures can prevent or treat: vaccines, skilled care at birth, kangaroo mother care, breastfeeding, oral rehydration and zinc, antibiotics, and malaria prevention and treatment. The main gap is care for very small and sick newborns, which depends on staffed, equipped facilities.

    Implementation reach

    How widely are effective solutions actually used?

    Moderate

    Coverage of key services is broad but incomplete: in 2025, 85% of infants worldwide received all three doses of diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis vaccine, yet an estimated 13.5 million received no vaccine at all in their first year.

    Confidence in the data

    Moderate

    UN IGME estimates rest on decades of surveys and registration data and are published with uncertainty ranges. Data gaps are largest where mortality is highest, and each round revises earlier figures: the latest estimates are slightly higher than those published the year before.

    Current trajectory

    Stalling

    The death rate is still falling, but its average annual decline dropped from 3.9% in 2000–2015 to 1.5% in 2015–2024, and the number of deaths has barely changed since 2022. UN agencies warn that reduced development assistance could slow progress further.

    Why this matters

    An estimated 4.9 million children died before the age of five in 2024, about 2.3 million of them in their first four weeks of life. The main causes are complications of preterm birth, complications during labour and delivery, pneumonia, diarrhoea and malaria, all of which can largely be prevented or treated with known, low-cost care. Since 2000, about 174 million children have died before their fifth birthday. The death rate has fallen by about 60% since 1990, but the number of deaths has stayed at roughly 4.8 to 4.9 million a year since 2022.

    The risk depends heavily on where a child is born. Sub-Saharan Africa accounts for 58% of under-five deaths, and children in fragile and conflict-affected countries are nearly three times as likely to die as children elsewhere. Within countries, children in the poorest households, in rural areas and those whose mothers had little schooling face higher risks. If current trends continue, about 27 million more children will die before age five between 2025 and 2030, and UN agencies warn that reductions in development assistance threaten to slow progress further.

    How child deaths are measured

    Most estimates come from the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME), led by UNICEF and WHO. Because many countries do not register every birth and death, it combines several data sources with statistical models. The main measures are:

    • Under-five mortality rate

      The probability that a newborn dies before reaching exactly five years of age, expressed per 1,000 live births. It is the headline indicator for child survival and for SDG target 3.2.

    • Neonatal mortality rate

      The probability of dying in the first 28 days of life, per 1,000 live births. It isolates the newborn period, where nearly half of all under-five deaths now occur.

    • Number of deaths

      The estimated count of children who die before age five in a year. It depends on both the death rate and the number of births, so it can stay flat even while the rate falls.

    • Modelled estimates

      UN IGME combines civil registration, household surveys and censuses into country estimates with uncertainty ranges. Each round revises the whole series, so figures from different reports should not be compared directly.

    What already works, and its limits

    Childhood vaccination

    What works

    Routine vaccines protect against major killers of young children, including measles, whooping cough and the bacterial and viral infections behind much pneumonia and diarrhoea. In 2025, 85% of infants worldwide completed the three-dose diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis series.

    Limits

    An estimated 13.5 million infants received no vaccine at all in 2025, concentrated in fragile and hard-to-reach areas. WHO and UNICEF note that the full effect of recent cuts to international health financing is not yet visible in these figures.

    Skilled care at birth and essential newborn care

    What works

    Complications of preterm birth (36%) and of labour and delivery (21%) are the leading causes of newborn death. A skilled health worker at birth, clean delivery, keeping the baby warm, help with breathing, early breastfeeding and prompt treatment of infections are the core of essential newborn care.

    Limits

    This care depends on functioning facilities with trained staff available day and night, reliable supplies and referral for emergencies. UN agencies say the high share of newborn deaths reflects slower progress in preventing deaths around the time of birth.

    Kangaroo mother care

    What works

    Skin-to-skin contact with the mother plus exclusive breastfeeding was already known to reduce deaths by 40% among hospitalized babies weighing under 2.0 kg when started once they are stable. A WHO-coordinated trial in five countries found that starting it immediately after birth cut deaths by a further 25%, which WHO estimated could save up to 150,000 more lives a year.

    Limits

    It requires neonatal units where mothers can stay with their babies around the clock, staff trained to support them, and time and support for mothers. The trial was hospital-based, so results in other settings may differ.

    Breastfeeding and good nutrition

    What works

    WHO estimates that nearly 400,000 deaths among children under five could be prevented each year if infants were exclusively breastfed for their first six months and breastfeeding continued to age two or beyond.

    Limits

    Only about 47% of infants under six months worldwide are exclusively breastfed. Mothers need practical support from health workers, families and employers, and malnutrition in older children also requires food security and treatment for acute malnutrition.

    Prevention and prompt treatment of pneumonia, diarrhoea and malaria

    What works

    Oral rehydration salts and zinc for diarrhoea, antibiotics for pneumonia, and testing and treatment for malaria are cheap and effective, and community health workers can bring them close to home. Malaria alone caused 17% of deaths among children aged one month to five years in 2024.

    Limits

    Treatment only helps if families recognise danger signs and reach care quickly. Community programmes need paid, supervised health workers, steady medicine supplies and working referral to hospitals.

    Innovations to watch

    Promising, but not proven at scale. The stage shows how far each approach has come; it is not a recommendation.

    Early deployment

    Protecting infants against RSV

    Respiratory syncytial virus is a major cause of severe lung infection in babies, and almost all infant deaths from it occur in low- and middle-income countries. In 2025 WHO recommended that countries introduce either a vaccine given to pregnant women or a long-acting antibody given to newborns. How quickly they can be made affordable and delivered at scale in low-income countries is not yet clear.

    Scaling

    Malaria vaccines

    Two malaria vaccines are recommended for young children and are now part of routine immunization in a growing number of African countries. In pilots in Ghana, Kenya and Malawi, deaths from all causes fell among children old enough to be vaccinated. Protection requires four doses and complements, rather than replaces, nets and treatment.

    Clinical trials

    Mass azithromycin distribution

    Giving the antibiotic azithromycin to all young children in high-mortality areas reduced deaths in an earlier large trial in Niger. In 2020 WHO advised that, where countries use it, it should be limited to infants aged 1 to 11 months in high-mortality settings in sub-Saharan Africa, with monitoring of deaths and antibiotic resistance. A large trial in Mali published in 2025 found no reduction in deaths, so where and whether it works remains uncertain.

    What is holding progress back

    Implementation gap:
    Solutions work but reach too few people. Needs infrastructure, funding and organisation.
    Coordination gap:
    Actors are not aligned. Needs standards, partnerships and better incentives.
    Knowledge gap:
    Cause or mechanism not understood. Needs basic research.
    • Implementation gap

      Falling development assistance

      UN IGME warns that reductions and uncertainty in development assistance threaten progress at a vulnerable moment, and notes that several studies suggest cuts to child health financing could mean millions of additional preventable deaths.

    • Implementation gap

      Quality of care around birth

      Newborn deaths make up nearly half of under-five deaths, which UN agencies link to slower progress in preventing deaths around the time of birth. Closing this gap depends on well-equipped facilities and skilled staff available whenever a baby is born.

    • Implementation gap

      Children no service reaches

      An estimated 13.5 million infants received no vaccine at all in 2025. Children missed by vaccination are often also missed by other basic health services.

    • Coordination gap

      Conflict and fragility

      Children in fragile and conflict-affected countries face an under-five mortality rate nearly three times higher than elsewhere. Insecurity, displacement and weak governance make it hard to keep clinics staffed and supplied, and require coordination between humanitarian and development actors.

    • Knowledge gap

      Data gaps where deaths are highest

      Many high-mortality countries lack complete birth and death registration, so estimates rely on surveys and models. Data gaps are largest exactly where mortality and preventable causes are most concentrated.

    • Knowledge gap

      Undercounted malnutrition

      More than 100,000 children aged one month to five years died from severe acute malnutrition in 2024, but UN agencies say the true burden is likely substantially underestimated because its indirect role in other deaths is not fully counted.

    Questions nobody has answered yet

    Unresolved questions, not vetted breakthroughs. Answering any of them would change what is possible.

    Why progress slowed after 2015

    How much of the slowdown is due to the shift of deaths towards the newborn period, to conflict and fragility, to population growth in high-mortality regions, or to stalled health system investment, and which levers would restart progress?

    Preventing preterm birth and saving small babies

    Why are so many babies born too early, often with no identified cause, and which forms of care can keep very small newborns alive where neonatal intensive care is not available?

    The real effect of aid cuts

    How are recent reductions in development assistance changing vaccine coverage, supplies and staffing in high-burden countries, and how can these effects be measured quickly when surveys are also being cut?

    Mass antibiotics: benefit versus resistance

    Why did mass azithromycin reduce child deaths in some trials but not others, and can its benefits be targeted to where they are largest without speeding up antibiotic resistance?

    What you can do

    • Give to proven delivery, and check the evidence

      Organisations that deliver vaccines, newborn care, nutrition and treatment for pneumonia, diarrhoea and malaria rely on donations. Look for groups that publish independent evaluations and cost data before you give.

    • Speak up for sustained funding

      Much child health work in high-burden countries depends on international aid and partnerships such as Gavi. Letting elected representatives know that you support this funding is one of the few ways individuals can influence it.

    • Support breastfeeding where you live and work

      Breastfeeding saves lives and depends on practical support. Backing paid parental leave, space and time to breastfeed at work, and respectful support for parents helps make it possible.

    • Lend professional skills

      Midwives, nurses, paediatricians, data analysts, supply-chain specialists and biomedical engineers can support newborn and child health programmes, especially in training, equipment maintenance and data systems.

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    Sources

    1. [1]Levels and Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2025

      UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank Group, UN DESA Population Division), published 2026

      The official global estimates, with data up to 2024, published in March 2026. Source of under-five deaths (13.0 million in 1990, 10.1 million in 2000, 7.1 million in 2010, 6.1 million in 2015, 4.9 million in 2024), the mortality rates of 93.5 (1990) and 37.4 (2024), the newborn share (47%), annual rates of decline, regional, fragility, wealth, rural and education gaps, countries at risk of missing SDG 3.2, projections to 2030 and the warning on development assistance.

    2. [2]Child mortality (under 5 years) – fact sheet

      World Health Organization (1 May 2026), published 2026

      WHO's summary of the latest UN IGME estimates. Source of the leading causes, the stagnation of deaths at about 4.8 to 4.9 million a year since 2022, the share of deaths and births in sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia, and the projection of more than 27 million deaths in 2025–2030.

    3. [3]Progress in reducing child deaths slows as 4.9 million children die before age five

      World Health Organization (news release, 18 March 2026), published 2026

      Joint UN IGME launch release. Source of cause shares (preterm complications 36% and labour and delivery complications 21% of newborn deaths; malaria 17% of deaths at 1–59 months), deaths from severe acute malnutrition and its likely underestimation, slower progress around the time of birth, and the note that estimates are not comparable across rounds.

    4. [4]Global childhood immunization coverage inches forward despite conflict and hesitancy

      UNICEF and WHO (press release, July 2026), published 2026

      Launch of the WHO/UNICEF national immunization coverage estimates for 2025. Source of DTP3 coverage (85%), 13.5 million zero-dose children, and the statement that the full impact of cuts to international health financing is not yet reflected.

    5. [5]Kangaroo mother care started immediately after birth critical for saving lives, new research shows

      World Health Organization (news release, 26 May 2021), published 2021

      WHO summary of the multi-country randomized trial of immediate kangaroo mother care (Ghana, India, Malawi, Nigeria, Tanzania). Source of the 40% and further 25% mortality reductions and the estimate of up to 150,000 more lives a year.

    6. [6]Infant and young child feeding – fact sheet

      World Health Organization (4 August 2026), published 2026

      Source of the estimate that nearly 400,000 under-five deaths a year could be prevented by optimal breastfeeding, the 47% exclusive breastfeeding rate for infants under six months, and the link between malnutrition and about half of child deaths.

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